Tuesday, November 11, 2008

Keep Aluminium Prices On The Knees Was The Since - Nov 11, 2008

Prices of Aluminium have plummeted by 33% since July and are now nearing November 2007 levels. The fundamentals are still bearish for this base metal. Global recession, Shortage of liquidity for working capital and rising Inventories across exchanges will all pressurize the prices further to test lower levels.In domestic markets the Aluminium contract for November expiry is trading at Rs 93 per kg unchanged in the mid-session.

LME three month aluminum prices rose by a meager $ 5 to close at $ 2023 per metric ton (92 cents/lb). Delivering additional bearish pressure to aluminum pries is huge buildup in LME aluminum inventories of 11125 tons to 1548475 tons.

The collapse in global car sales in the US and now the EU will shrink demand this year and in 2009 as well to keep Aluminium prices on the knees. September was the worst month since 1993 in US with Auto sales dragging down below a million. A plethora of bad economic news drove a sales decline for every major automaker as total light-vehicle sales tumbled to 964873, down 26.6% compared with September 2007, sales.

U.S. auto sales for October are expected to tumble about 29% to their lowest level in nearly 17 years. October sales are expected to drop 9.4% from September. This is an expectation of one of the renowned online resource for automobile Edmunds. In European Union the car sales fell for the fifth consecutive month in September, the longest stretch since 2005, as higher fuel prices and financial-market turmoil reduced demand. India Auto Sales showed a dip of 6.6% in domestic sales in October. Domestic sales were at 98900 units as against 105877 units in the corresponding period last year.

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